Market & Mindset November 4, 2025

Miami Real Estate Update: Why Now’s a Smart Time for Buyers and Sellers

Why You Should Care About the Miami Market Right Now

If you’re in the Miami-area market — whether buying, selling, or refinancing — this is a moment worth watching closely. Mortgage rates are finally softening, inventory is shifting, and the gap between buyers and sellers is starting to narrow.

Let’s break down what’s happening in clear, actionable terms.


1️⃣ Mortgage Rates Are the Lowest They’ve Been in a Year

After climbing above 7% earlier this year, mortgage rates have now dipped below 6% — the lowest averages in about 12 months.

  • In Florida, the 30-year fixed rate now averages 5.99%, and the 15-year fixed sits around 5.38%. (Zillow, Nov 4 2025)

  • Nationally, the average 30-year fixed is 6.13%, its lowest in roughly three years. (CBS News, Nov 2025)

That means both buyers and homeowners are starting to move again — applications for new purchases and refinances are trending upward.

What this means for you:

  • If your current rate is above 7%, this could be your moment to refinance and free up monthly cash flow.

  • Buyers now get slightly more purchasing power compared to just a few months ago.

  • Sellers may benefit from renewed buyer demand — especially those positioned in desirable price brackets or neighborhoods.


2️⃣ Home Prices & Inventory: A Market Finding Balance

Even as rates ease, Miami home prices remain strong — but inventory levels are shifting.

  • Median single-family home price: $665,000, up 2.3% year-over-year.

  • Median condo price: $420,000, holding steady year-over-year.

  • Single-family supply: ~6.5 months (balanced market).

  • Condo/townhome supply: ~14 months (buyer-leaning).
    (Miami REALTORS®, Oct 2025)

Zooming out, Realtor.com’s national data show the Miami metro has nearly 10 months of total housing supply, indicating more choice and less urgency than a year ago.

What this means for you:

  • Buyers: You now have more room to negotiate — particularly in the condo and townhome market.

  • Sellers: Price strategically and showcase value; buyers are back but more discerning.

  • Investors: With steady appreciation and growing inventory, this is a prime market for selective purchases or refinancing.


3️⃣ Cash Buyers & Luxury Activity Still Define Miami

Miami’s high-end market remains uniquely resilient:

  • Over 50 % of homes above $1 million are purchased with cash, making this one of the most liquidity-driven markets in the country. (New York Post, Aug 2025)

  • Million-dollar condo/townhome transactions are up ~10.8 % year-over-year. (Miami REALTORS®, Sept 2025)

What this means for you:

  • If you’re financing a purchase, you’re competing with fast-moving cash buyers — being pre-approved and ready to act is essential.

  • Sellers catering to luxury segments should highlight features that appeal to high-net-worth and investor buyers — turn-key condition, privacy, and amenities.


4️⃣ Looking Ahead: Forecast & Local Factors

Miami REALTORS®’ latest outlook projects:

  • Balanced single-family market by year-end (~6.6 months’ supply).

  • Slight condo price softening (≈ 1 % dip in 2025).
    (MIAMI REALTORS®, July 2025)

Key local dynamics to monitor:

  • New condo reserve and insurance regulations impacting affordability.

  • Rising flood-risk premiums in select coastal zones.

  • A steady stream of out-of-state buyers, especially from the Northeast, continuing to drive long-term demand.


💡 How to Make the Most of This Market

  1. Check your current rate or pre-approval.
    If your mortgage rate is above 7%, refinancing may save you hundreds monthly. I can connect you with trusted Miami-based lenders who understand local nuances.

  2. Position your property strategically.

    • Sellers: focus on presentation, pre-inspection, and competitive pricing.

    • Buyers: target listings with longer days on market for negotiation leverage.

  3. Match your timeline to market rhythm.
    With rates trending downward and inventory expanding, timing your move — or refinance — before the next rate uptick could be key.


🤝 How I Can Help

As a local REALTOR® and Miami market expert, I help my clients:

  • Analyze real-time trends at the neighborhood level (Coral Gables, Coconut Grove, Pinecrest, Miami Beach, and beyond).

  • Strategize purchases, listings, or refinances to capture the best possible outcomes.

  • Navigate evolving insurance, HOA, and financing rules with trusted partners.

Let’s connect for a complimentary market strategy session.
I’ll prepare a custom snapshot for your home or search area — showing pricing trends, equity outlook, and actionable next steps.

📩 Reach out today to schedule yours and make your next move in Miami intentional and well-timed.


📚 Sources